Reuters, Beijing, May 20 – — China as a leading indicator of industrial capacity data in April showed the trend of the expansion year on year decline, or against the market for domestic electricity demand growth is expected to rebound as well as the overall economic confidence, but also huge loss for the last year experienced the power plants cast a shadow over prospects for future profits. See more exciting information
* Generating capacity expected to start in late May the steady rise
* Benefit from the arrival of summer peak demand and industry revitalization plan
* Coal negotiations without results for the electricity enterprise deficits to add variables
Reuters, Beijing, May 20 – — China as a leading indicator of industrial capacity data in April showed the trend of the expansion year on year decline, or against the market for domestic electricity demand growth is expected to rebound as well as the overall economic confidence, but also huge loss for the last year experienced the power plants cast a shadow over prospects for future profits.
But the industry and analysts that the decline in generation capacity expansion is only short-term phenomenon, with the summer peak season coming in advance, and planning the revitalization of the various industry rules were introduced, China’s power generation capacity in the chain starting in late May will start to stabilize Petroleum Product manufacture or rise. However, the coal price is still about power gains and losses of key enterprises.
Joint metal mesh coal analyst Wang Ling, said the higher temperatures this year, arrived early peak, Qinhuangdao coal price has recently raised 15-20 yuan per tonne, or part of the proof of the steady rise of the trend of electricity demand .
Analysts believe that April is the seasonal low power consumption, with the peak ahead of the advent of seasonal electricity consumption is expected to rebound. And although the large electricity – ferrous metals, nonferrous metals and Chemical industry And other heavy industry has no signs of full recovery, but the state policy to stimulate economic revitalization of many industries, especially the recent introduction of planning rules are driving the overall slow recovery in industrial demand.
One of China’s five major power Guodian expected a high level, “China’s current electricity demand in the bottom of the stabilization phase, … is gradually recovering, will gradually move up, pull it, and 4 trillion a relationship.”
National Bureau of Statistics previously released data, China in April output fell 3.5%; another country Home Appliances Network data, early in May fell 3.9% in electricity generation, fell further than March.
In September last year after considering the low base effect and the overall upward trend of industrial demand, Ping An Securities analyst Wang Fan power is expected in September this year, after the accelerated consumption of electricity may be present, the Chinese power generation will be presented this year “after the first low high “trend. Director Tan Rongyao
State Electricity Regulatory Commission also said that society has bottomed out with a sharp drop in consumption stabilized situation, electricity consumption is expected to end the second quarter of “negative growth”, to achieve a positive into a negative.
** Coal to make electricity enterprise losses variables impasse still exists **
This year, the rebound in electricity demand by the positive impact of Huaneng Power in the first quarter recorded a net profit of 550 million yuan, has reversed last year’s loss.
But not all power enterprises can achieve profitability. Huadian Power International Huadian Group, parent company of people who admitted, after a loss last year after almost the whole industry, their primary goal this year is still “turn around” The determining factor in addition to the power demand, can seize only “resort” is the coal price.
He said, the current coal prices are volatile, many power enterprises, and enterprises have adopted the provisional price of coal, some areas or large groups through the coordination of the provincial government to determine the provisional price. “(Coal) long-term price uncertainty, business is in a precarious situation. “he said, could not determine the price of coal next year, the power companies can not finance the future operation of the status and cost considerations.
Open since late last year the focus of the contract coal price negotiations still pending, power plants firmly opposed to the contract coal price increases, the breakeven point by companies push come back this year, coal prices should be 460 yuan per ton than the previous year down about RMB 60 yuan. The Shenhua Group of China, led by coal companies, hopes to raise coal prices 10% higher than last year.
Given the current impasse, several people in the industry said the government departments are involved in coal negotiations to balance the interests of both sides, giving hope to reach an outcome of increased confidence in both coal and electricity.
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